
The rivalry between Israel and Iran has been one of the defining geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East for several decades. Despite not sharing a direct border, both countries have dealt with a complicated arrangement of military, political, and ideological hostilities that have contributed to the overall geopolitical grievance within the region. Rivalry is not a simple bi-lateral relationship, but it has larger consequences for international relations, global security, and the legitimacy of stability in the Middle East. The horns of this ongoing antagonism are rooted in historical, religious, and ideological differences, but over time, the conflict has evolved to become a struggle for regional hegemony with both countries laying claim to the entire Middle East and the Iranian-backed militia terrorizing and undermining U.S. and allied influences within the region.
The Israel-Iran conflict stems from opposing ideologies. Israel was formed in 1948 as a Jewish homeland and embodies a secular democracy with values aligned with the West and a strong relationship with the US. Iran is an Islamic Republic formed in 1979 after the overthrow of the Shah, who had government support from the US. After the Iranian Revolution, a Shia clerical government was formed and led by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. This government's ideological viewpoint was one of contempt for Israel, viewing it as a colonial presence and as an invader of the Palestinian homeland. The government of Iran has consistently called for the liberation of Palestine and supported groups and movements that sought to challenge Israel's existence, particularly Palestinian terrorist organizations like Hamas, and Lebanese militia/terrorist organization Hezbollah. This ideological rift between the two nations is further strained by their desire to be the leading power in the region, affecting security dynamics and regional politics in the Middle East.
The geopolitical effects of the Israel-Iran rivalry are immense and effect not only the Middle East, but also superpowers and their relationships internationally. The United States, as a long-time ally to Israel, is closely involved with the rivalry, frequently as an opposing actor with Iran. Likewise, Iran's relationship with Russia and China, in which both have given Iran support in many ways, whether through military aid or financial assistance, complicates matters. Therefore, we see the Israel-Iran rivalry as a symbolic aspect of the broader global struggle for influence in the Middle East.
One of the most crucial elements in the conflict between Israel and Iran is their own military policy and security needs. Israel, as neighbors to its enemies, has invested heavily in defense mechanisms and weapons technology and is thus one of the strongest armies in the Middle East. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) are famous for their advanced technology, such as sophisticated air defense systems like the Iron Dome, designed to protect Israeli civilians from rocket fire. Israel's military strategy is based on the concept of deterrence, and there is a belief that if Israel has a powerful, capable army, no one will attack Israeli territory.
Furthermore, Israel has pursued a policy of preemptive strikes to neutralize perceived threats before they materialize, as seen in its 2007 bombing of a suspected Syrian nuclear reactor being built in secret with Iranian assistance. The Iranian security posture, however, is different yet equally sophisticated. Iran's military doctrine relies on asymmetric warfare, based on proxy forces and indirect methods to exert influence across the region. This includes the support of groups such as Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas in Gaza, and militias in Iraq and Syria. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) of Iran is the cornerstone of this strategy, with the mission of expanding Iranian influence outside of its borders. Iran, via the IRGC and the Quds Force, has cultivated a web of loyalist militias that can destabilize the region, allowing Tehran to acquire disproportionate power in countries like Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq.
The top story of the Israeli Iranian rivalry, and the most contested issue on the international agenda, is Iranian nuclear ambitions. Iran has long claimed that its nuclear ambitions are for peaceful purposes, but several countries, including Israel, America, and several European nations, have had serious doubts about Iran's potential for nuclear weapons. Israel views a nuclearized Iran as an existential threat due to the aggressive rhetoric of Iranian leadership and its patronage of anti-Israeli militant organizations. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu famously stated in 2009 that "Iran must not be allowed to obtain nuclear weapons," and again and again it has indicated it would have no reluctance in employing military power to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.
The international community, spearheaded by America, has tried addressing this issue through diplomacy, recently via the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2015. The agreement, between Iran and six world powers (the U.S., Britain, France, Russia, China, and Germany), provided Iran sanctions relief for limiting its nuclear programs. But in 2018, President Donald Trump pulled the United States out of the deal himself, alleging that it was flawed and did not do enough to limit Iran's power in the Middle East. Israeli Iranian tensions have escalated ever since, particularly as Iran has gradually rebuilt its nuclear program, sparking concerns of a Middle Eastern nuclear arms race.
In the nuclear arena, the Iran-Israel rivalry is also in cyber warfare. Both have sophisticated cyber capabilities and cyberattacks are now a normal mode of engagement in this long-standing rivalry. In 2010, Iran's nuclear enrichment plants were struck by a cyberattack called Stuxnet, which was widely blamed on Israel and America, delivering a severe setback to its nuclear ambitions. Iran has also responded by attacking Israeli infrastructure with cyberattacks, introducing an additional layer of sophistication to the conflict.
Alliances and regional dynamics also characterize the Israel-Iran competition. Israel has in recent years forged tight bonds with the Gulf Arab states, most prominently Saudi Arabia, on the basis of shared concerns about Iran's growing power and regional ambitions. Despite being traditional enemies, Iranian threat has accelerated a tacit rapprochement between the two sides. Israel and several Arab nations, particularly those from the Gulf, have shared clandestine security and intelligence cooperation, such as in opposing Iran's nuclear and missile programs. This alignment, not formalized in the same way as Israel's peace agreements with Egypt and Jordan, has been one of the significant shifts in the Middle East's geopolitical environment.
In addition, the United States relationship is also crucial to the rivalry against Iran. The United States has been Israel's strongest ally, providing military aid, advanced weapon systems, and diplomatic support. American support has been vital to Israel's ability to maintain its military superiority in the region. In comparison, Iran's relations with Russia and China have provided it with support, particularly in resistance to Western sanctions. Russia, in particular, has been Iran's most significant ally in Syria, where both countries have supported the regime of President Bashar al-Assad against opposition forces. China has increasingly become Iran's ally when it comes to economic commerce and infrastructure projects, offering a lifeline in the face of American sanctions.
The Israeli Iranian rivalry is as much a rivalry of military and ideological competition as of political and economic maneuvering. Both are important regional actors in Middle Eastern energy, where Israel itself has emerged as an upstart energy producer out of its Mediterranean natural gas reserves, while Iran has been and continues to be one of the world's biggest oil producers. Control over energy resources and shipping routes are key aspects of their regional competition. Israel's cutting-edge technology, particularly in fields like cybersecurity, defense, and agriculture, gives it an edge in economic diplomacy, while Iran's vast natural resources and geopolitical position as a connecting bridge between Asia and Europe give it significant regional influence.
To the future, the Israeli Iranian conflict will largely shape the Middle East's geopolitics. The war could escalate to outright military battles, particularly if Iran becomes a nuclear state, or otherwise be a long-drawn, indirect struggle through proxy wars and cyber warfare. The international community at large, including the U.S., Russia, and the European Union, will remain important actors in containing tension and seeking diplomatic channels, but the deep-seated distrust between Iran and Israel presents peace with extreme obstacles.
As competition rages on, new challenges and opportunities will arise. The playing out of the global realignment of power, particularly the game-changer between America and China, could have significant impacts on Israel-Iran rivalry's future. Likewise, the revolutionizing political and military dynamics in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon will play a pivotal role in shaping the course of the competition. Ultimately, the Israel-Iran rivalry will be a central element of Middle Eastern geopolitics with deep and lasting implications not only for the region but for international security and global affairs as well.
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